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all right. Technically, I believe it is time. so I want to welcome everybody. I know that we are a smaller but hardy contingent

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had early morning here in Melbourne on a Saturday, the last day of the conference. So I want to welcome everybody who's physically present and all of our wonderful speakers who are online. But before we get started I want to do an acknowledgment of of country

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on behalf of everyone gathered. I pay respects to the spirit of the country. Here in Narm, where we are meeting, I acknowledge the past, the present of the sovereign peoples. Here I welcome their elders to our space to share with us their knowledge.

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 I acknowledge that this is unseeded sovereign territory. and I pay my respects to all first nations, people who are with us today.

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So what we are going to do I'm going to stop sharing here. We are going to have each of the speakers

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who are remote. share their own screens. And we are going to start with. Let's see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. So you guys have got about 12Â min each.

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So I suggest, let's see, do we have our first speaker? Do we have our first speaker, Roger? Are you our first presenter?

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Roger Ramos: Hello! Can you hear me?

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Yes.

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Roger Ramos: okay, perfect. I have some audio problems and video problems as well. I think it's very if I keep my camera off so you can hear me better.

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Roger Ramos: Okay.

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are you going to be sharing your presentation through your screen? Or would you like me to share it

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through my screen? And you just tell me when I need to change the slide.

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No, I think I can share it. Let me try.

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Okay. Brilliant.

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and I will be in front of the camera to give you a 2Â min warning. Okay, thank you.

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Roger Ramos: Can you? Can you arise it?

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Yes, we can see that. Thank you.

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So start whenever you're ready, please.

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Roger Ramos: Okay, thank you. I think I'm ready now. First of all my apologies, I I know that a good English speaker, but I'll I'll do my my best. what I'm gonna present you is some basically a paper

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Roger Ramos: based on research carried out from the perspective of political ecology or more specifically.

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Roger Ramos: for what? This? No.

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Roger Ramos: and from out there, such as Oliver Smith as the political ecology of disasters.

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Roger Ramos: mythologically, he'd be supported by the graphic work, and by the recovery of historical memory. Following what Dr. Virginia, I see a Costa proposes as a retrospective or historical approach

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Roger Ramos: which is useful to understand the disaster as a process within a specific social and ecological reality.

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Roger Ramos: The earthquake of September seventh, 2,017, the strongest of those registered in the last 100 years in Mexico, has also worked as a critical window a concept proposed by anthropologists from helio Tes, which has allowed to look into the history of a small fishing village in the Southern Mexican Pacific

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Roger Ramos: name is Paradon, located in the State of Chiapas, where around 6,000

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Roger Ramos: you

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Roger Ramos: to live. The earthquake struck after 11 Pm. Causing a situation of general cows. Most of the inhabitants run the way to the nearest city, and when they returned. The next day they found that they, their village.

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Roger Ramos: was destroyed.

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Roger Ramos: There was no electricity, no water, and around 60% of the houses had collapsed or been damaged.

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Roger Ramos: however.

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Roger Ramos:  To begin a year and a half later, and speaking in a in a physical dimension, the down was practically recovered, the houses had been rebuilt. The inhabitants work, as always in feature-related activities, and life in general was established in conditions similar to those existing before the earthquake.

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Roger Ramos: not withstanding people testimony suggest that

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Roger Ramos: a lack of attention, of social vulnerability it is

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Roger Ramos: that, according to their own perception, we're still percent weakening their their daily life.

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Roger Ramos: I know those vulnerabilities. There were 2 different issues that constantly appeared in testimonies, as the greatest people concerns

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Roger Ramos: one of these issues. deal with different kind of problems related to water, and the other was the worrying growth of criminal activities.

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Roger Ramos: What I perceive you? No.

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Roger Ramos: Here is, therefore, a phenomenon of criminality that is part of the process of disaster that affects Pradun Bay, and that, in order to be understood, has to be reconstructed from history.

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Roger Ramos: which I briefly now tell you.

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Roger Ramos: So part of them was populated around 170 years ago in nineteenth century. The people who settled there

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Roger Ramos: determinedly

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Roger Ramos: because, due to its geographic allocation, it was an extraordinarily good spot for fishing, and it considered to be so for those of generations. It is a town located on the edges of a lagoon named Mario, or that C

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Roger Ramos: which is connected to the sea through an inlet or ocean mouth.

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Roger Ramos: That connection allows feature men to capture marine species without running all the risk implied in fishing in the ocean

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Roger Ramos: and

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Roger Ramos: or leaving C, as they call here

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Roger Ramos: for a long time, fishing and general old interactions between human beings and ecological elements secured in harmonic terms.

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Roger Ramos: Like many other similar communities, fishing was developed on their collaborative schemes, and the sea was seen as a kind provider, and was represented under paternal figures that watched it over the well-being of

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Roger Ramos: the Hmm. And their families

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Roger Ramos: at this gradually changed when all this gradually changed when, especially after World War Ii. The Mexican government adopted the development developmentalist grow the schemes typical of expansion is capitalism.

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Roger Ramos: This is

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Roger Ramos: which the fishing field in the seventies of the last century.

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Roger Ramos: provoking a deep transformation in the life of the fish and villages.

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Roger Ramos: Technologization was the central element of this transformation.

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Roger Ramos: Fiber boats and outward motors soon replace it. The old wooden boats that have been used for work at sea for centuries. and same thing happened with nets made of vegetable fibers which would be replaced by more resistant plastic ones, etc., etc.

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Roger Ramos: Initially. technology did accelerate production, and many people in towns like Parliament should be important economic status.

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Roger Ramos: but at the same time a race for for the species was unleashed, broken community T. And was forming the symbolism of the sea, which went from being a space for commonality to a competition arena.

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Roger Ramos: Within a short period of time several species became scars, and competition became even tougher.

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Roger Ramos:  in the

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Roger Ramos: this, that conflict exploded in chaplas, and feeling that the uprising would spread the government, and to make it a policy of harshness with one of concessions in many public sectors. In fishing

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Roger Ramos: for that conflict due to the scarcity of the species. The regulatory frameworks were relaxed, and the authorities torn a line I to the bad practices that many fishermen began to implement.

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Roger Ramos: Then official closed systems were not respected.

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Roger Ramos: The nets began to be used to catch even smaller sizes of fish, thus interrupting the production cycles. In the other hand, official reports of captures and licenses for transportation were falsified, and a major clandestine fish market emerged.

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Roger Ramos: In this way a culture of illegality was born and is spread all along the region. At the same time traditional species. Scarcity caused fishermen to look for new ones

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Roger Ramos: with the high Valdemar.

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Roger Ramos: Okay, so just the shark. So, looking for sharks, fishermen began to sail greater distances, they abandoned. Then the waters of the moon, where they had fish for generations to venture in the hazard. Those living see

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Roger Ramos: this.

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Roger Ramos: this increasing

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Roger Ramos: This increasing distances in a vacation routes, took fishermen to an unforeseen phenomenon

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Roger Ramos:  and that, and that it is that the roots of the shark boats intersected with the rules.

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Roger Ramos: with the roots of the speedboats used by Central American trafficking networks for transportation of Colombian drugs coming

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Roger Ramos: from the ports of

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Roger Ramos: Salvador and Guatemala, there were was born around 25 years ago a relationship between fishermen and criminal organizations that since then has not stopped evolving At first fishermen were used to supply the traffickers with food and water. Later they supply them with fuel, and finally they ended up involved in different ways. In that activity

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Roger Ramos: the links between fishermen and big

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Roger Ramos: does. It became closer after a few years, chapters became the state of the Republic with the most vessel Se. By Mexican navy for transport interrupts. Since then the situation has worsened to the point where today it's virtually impossible to determine what extent fishing is. Just a front face for criminal activities in many towns

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Roger Ramos: profiting from from geographical location, criminal networks in the

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Roger Ramos: barrier. I have as well venture into another activity that that has very special intensely in recent years the trafficking of people from Central America for whom traffickers charged up to 25,000 for a single per $25,000 for a single person to reach the United States.

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Roger Ramos: With this activities many people in paradox were able to face the fishing crisis and maintain living standards that, compared to other fisheries.

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Roger Ramos: are much better than today or the traffickers. The knowledge of navigation of the fishermen are extremely useful.

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but economic profits.

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Roger Ramos: Hmm. As you know, capital. These activities are distributed according to the power of accumulation. Now, in the case of a rural environment which is also located in a region that has historically

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Roger Ramos: be neglected by countries economic.

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Roger Ramos: big, and government centers. It is not easy to speak here of a phenomenon of white color crime as those in urban context.

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but that does not mean that there is no relationship between both criminal expressions.

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Roger Ramos: In the first place, it was the large injection of capital into the region which transformed activities such as fishing, and stimulated the proliferation of criminal interests.

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Roger Ramos: This capital encourage that

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Roger Ramos: the

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Roger Ramos: in time, the emergence of local investors, many of which are politicians or entrepreneurs who have historically and directly benefit from the economic spill over generated by criminal activities. Many of these local capitalists are owners, for example, of concessions for the supply of ice and beer, which fishermen consuming large quantities.

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Roger Ramos: and many others, are owners of real State companies, which, according to popular

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Roger Ramos: very.

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Roger Ramos: and serve to under the money of 10 traffic.

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Roger Ramos: This relationship of convenience between capitalists and fishermen was revealed in other ways in the context of the earthquake. One example is the rebuilding process.

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Roger Ramos: Here the companies that were entrusted with the good reconstruction of homes acted in an extremely corrupt way to

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Roger Ramos: you have about 2Â min left.

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Roger Ramos: Okay, thank you.

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Roger Ramos: So the in this the building process open any possibility for crime money to enter the reconstruction

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Roger Ramos: causing that eventually many of those who had lost their homes were still unable to have one, because they did not raise the the amount of money requested by businessmen, while others with money enough to pay, and

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Roger Ramos: the

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Roger Ramos: they are up to 3 or 4 houses within their properties.

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Roger Ramos: The the routing crime is also associated with intensification of violence, which also it has not just reached the level. So for the regions of the country.

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Roger Ramos: this is still in

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Roger Ramos: this violence is frequently rooted in historical conflicts, and in some cases has aggravated because of their

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Roger Ramos: X, and have rhythm even to massacres, as happened in San Antonio, and you by the us 2 years later, after the airport

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Roger Ramos: However, due to how the phenomenon of organized crime a person people testimonies.

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Roger Ramos: it is important to observe that if it is perceived as a vulnerability.

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Roger Ramos: as I planning to to present you here it is. It's mainly because of its

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Roger Ramos: relation to the loss of natural wealth and the loss of the connection with the sea that has forced many fishermen to abandon their historical lifestyles and work in criminal activities. So

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Roger Ramos:  people may have got over their way that person day.

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Roger Ramos: but this kind of criminal expression

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Roger Ramos: is one of the one of the ways in which the

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Roger Ramos: they're driven at least partially by politicians and entrepreneurs. Money is still running in local reality. And I think it would be it.

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Roger Ramos: Thank you very much.

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Thank you, Roger. That was wonderful.

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All right, thank you so much. Let's see.

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let me see where we are.

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So our next speaker will also be remote.

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Let's

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: Jennifer, are you ready to start presenting? Would you like to take over the screen, please? Yes.

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lovely, lovely!

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All right. This is grand, we can see.

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So please start whenever you're ready, and please everybody. Hold your questions until the very end. In that way everybody can make sure they get enough presentation time.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: Go ahead, Jennifer. Thank you. Okay. So I'm going to present a little bit of ongoing work. I'm a professor at the University of Port, the vehicle. I'm the chair of a new newly established program on plan for disaster reduction. I'm formally trying as a disaster researcher.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: and this is some of the work that I'm doing at the University of Puerto Rico particularly with with a new project that we're beginning, and we'll talk about it at some point in the presentation. so how this research emerge overall, there's an interest in crime and disasters. and particularly, I was invited by Venezuela. who is organizing the session to take a look at

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: corruption in Puerto Rico. we have had extended conversations about my my feel observations of for Temple Home repair programs after hurricane Maria and some of the challenges

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: particularly in in, in facilitating access to home repairs in in an organized manner and a sustain matter pretty much. What we're seeing is a lot of this organization. And how homes are repaired and a lot of irrationality, for example, the electrical system of a house can be

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: repair before the roof is repair. when you look at the cost of those repairs. They can be ridiculously high. So it's like.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: okay, I think we need to mute Roger.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez:  so that's one of the challenges that we have. So what I'm gonna talk about today is pretty much an update of of where this research is going, and also some other observations around the the the issue of stakeholder perception of of corruption and legitimacy of the government of Portugal.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: Part of the of the work that I'm going to present today was also collected through a grant offered by the Natural Hazard Center for research in the Territories. To that work we were able to conduct interviews with emergency responders at different levels. in Puerto Rico we were able to complete 51

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: in the interviews that were transcribed and are now being analyzed. We also for administered a door to door survey in San Juan and Southwest for Donico, where we were able to collect 428 surveys. and we have also been facilitating Focus group

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: during the Southwest for the vehicle seismic sequence, particularly in collaboration with the Earthquake Science Center of the Us. Geological Survey to work a little bit to refine how the aftershock forecast is communicated in port of Vicar.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: So for those of you that are not familiar with Port Puerto Rico is a Us. A territory of the United States of America. Since 1,898 it's located in the Caribbean and for the last 5 years it has been dealing with

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: consecutive disasters. And one of the things that we have been arguing is that it's not just the cumulative effects of disasters, but also the need of having a a more bottom up approach. Where we look at how people in different roles, in different positions are managing multiple disaster cycles concurrently

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: not just residents, but also responders, are responding to an event preparing for another trying to facilitate mitigation pro projects for multiple disaster declaration and we need to understand, what are some of the challenges

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: that that situation poses? So we have hurricane, Maria in 2,017 a week after dealing with European era. After that we have the 2,020 earthquake sequence, and it's still ongoing which is located in the southwest region of the island and the picture on the left side of the screen. so it shows the accumulation of events in that region.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: and

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: all that is happening not just in the context of the covid pandemic, but also in the cons of fiscal oversight and restructuration in the island. So I also list a little have a list of other challenges that we need to think about when we're dealing with research in port of Eco, and we're thinking about the situation in the island.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: so the objectives of this work is to use official documents of Spain from the Us. Department of Justice and the public access to core electronic records known as Pacer to understand accusations of corruption in Puerto Rico.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: And we're particularly interested in understanding accusations that involve government officials at different levels identify relevant literature that could allow us to conceptualize in more death or disaster corruption.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: understanding more, that the frequency, and temporarily of corruption, primes and arrests in the aftermath of recent disasters in Puerto Rico,

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: and share our ongoing research in which we seek to characterize and classify the crimes committed, identify the disaster declaration in which the the Ally Crime is related, document the the investigation process, the arrest, a.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: the outcome of the case, and really start understanding on a case by case basis. how is it? What are the conditions that facilitate corruption? And also, you know, what are some of the patterns that we're seeing. In that sense

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: the relevance of this work strives, and that the delivery of emergency services is compromised when resources allocated to address the needs of those who withstand the worst of disasters are diverted. so this is, particularly an issue last week

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: have an increasing number of disasters. And as we deal with the challenges phones by climate change so one of the things that we began doing is putting together an annotated biography particularly with the work of the of the graduate students. in the project to start looking at. what it's out there in terms of understanding, corruption, understanding, corruption in Puerto Rico.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: in in in in getting sort of located within the literature. So there's a few studies looking at corruption in Puerto Rico is one of the of the researchers that has been more active looking at corruption, not necessarily from a an empirical perspective, but more from a a theoretical perspective, trying to conceptualize and to understand.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: what are the conditions that allow, or that facilitate corruption apps or or acts of corruption. So he argues that the state of emergency and it's an executive orders have become the only tools to deal

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: with all crisis situations in the island. Right now we have documented over a hundred executive orders related to disasters in the last 5 years. therefore corruption and state corporate crimes ought to be understood.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: that's one of the things that he argued, that it's not just that we are using executive orders to manage disasters but that there are the only tools, and that they are part of a a broader rationality and effort of the

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: the administration of the State and Federal governments. he argues that this spectacularization of corruption and the cyclical performances of anti corruption deployed by the United States in the island brain. Fi. A colonial narrative of the corrupt other and in in the cons of Puerto Rico. You know, that's the to colonial legacy in which throughout history we have been learning how to govern ourselves, and there has been a perception of a

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: limited cost capacity of self-govern. got of self governing for Puerto Ricans and other people living in in a territorial situation.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: so some of the observations. that we have. So far, we have identified 29 cases that could be referred to as white color corruption accusations directly related to the response process tend to involve

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: external actors and not local officials. so that's one of the things that comes across particularly those acts that we're related to the immediate response process. most of them are related to government officials from the Federal Government that were deployed to the island. And also, you know, contractors, that so an opportunity for profiting in the immediate aftermath

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: cases involving local actors benefited from States of its section and re relax protocols. So they're not necessarily related to the response. But they took advantage of that stage of it.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: cases involving State actors are mostly related to public service integrity, particularly bribery.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: and wire fraud, also payments to support the election of a public official, which is the case of the governor, and something else that has emerged. in the qualitative data that we're analyzing is the challenge that the political instability in Puerto Rico poses for disaster response and for the legitimacy of the response process. And I have 2 quotes here

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: to showcase. what some of those officials are saying, and and sort of the seriousness I have under 2Â min left.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: one of them it's an executive level official, and he says, I don't think that articulating the forecast is something that an executive level official could not articulate what we did, and it's unfortunate that the government of Porto Rico has such a low credibility. We will tell the Federal official.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: You talk because you are John, American, please. People are going to say, Oh, I understand, if I say it with my Puerto Rico, so people will say he's a liar. It's a matter of perception. so this are some of the some of the qualitative data. I'm not going to discuss it, but overall. It shows how the media is the most trusted

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: source of information this other one is the their opinion, public opinion of how reliable are this emergency management and disaster response in the island, which is also another challenge

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: and to conclude, you know, there's a need to further understand criminal Va behavior throughout the disaster cycle in light of increasing this afterwards, they need to build capacity and systems to avoid state of reception. and next steps. You know, we're coding indictment documents to further our analysis and just continue understanding This situation in Puerto Rico, in terms of acknowledgment, is important to acknowledge that this research is funded by Nsf.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: particularly to their rising voices, changing codes that are in and of science convergence Hub and the quick response research Award program coordinated by the National Health Center. So thank you very much.

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Thank you, Jennifer. That was really wonderful.

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Okay, if you could stop sharing your screen, that's brilliant.

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I am going to now share my screen. because our next person is actually here. Anna, please come and join us

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hopefully. Everybody can see

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and see this screen. Let me just hide the floating meeting controls, please, and I will give you the 2Â min.

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Okay.

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Ok, so good morning, everyone. And thank you for the food in person. Yeah, the

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coming to here, I'm start my presentation because

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in Japan, there is so limited research on, okay, we have.

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do I?

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Okay, a space for okay, okay.

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in Japan. There is so limited research on the octave crimes and crime prevention in the disaster affected earlier.

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One of on this is study focusing on supporting victims and the disaster response are more considered urgent and prioritized.

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And I think another reason is a different difficulty in accessing crime data in Japan.

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So from 19, I don't. 2,018. So it's like And only the 5 years. We have a partially open data. Initiative for the street crimes was introduced on the trail basis.

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So utilizing this data on examination of the relationship between the typhoon damage and crime-creency in Japan will be conducted in my research.

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So our previous research is Until now the severe disaster have been studied regarding to their crime in affected areas.

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So. First one is great canto, earthquake

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and instance. There was a minor ticketing, especially the Koreans. They were freed by the lumor. and in the hunting average earthquake. It's the increase in the motorcycle seed, because so many debris, broke in the load, and it make our street more narrow, so the motorcycle is more needed.

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So and also more herbal. were not defricting in the offshore post. Statistics! But there were the and and numerous number of the reported for the sexual offences.

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And in the great East Japan earthquake there are so many burglary in the Fukushima area, because Fukushima area is not so many affected by the tsunami. So their house was remaining so after they evacuate because of their Fukushima diet plant

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a nuclear power plant instant. So so many people are there. get into their houses.

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and the similar things happen in the Kumamoto earthquake because it's an earthquake. affected area. So the the houses remain there. So there's so many bower. residential barbarity there.

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So based on these research findings.

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we are separate in. Those crimes occurring in disaster affected the disaster. Affected area is categorized into these 4 types.

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Despite crimes that occur when the initial support for victims is insufficient.

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Opportunities! Crimes is taking advantage of the chaos and the disaster affected earlier

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and third one. There's stress-hearted crimes. It's the result from the so stressful living condition in the after the mass of disaster.

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and others is like a a mixing type of these crimes. And You know some of the authorities are are carried exposure and individuals a position of the power, and also some kind of discrimination

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related treatment. So

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In this study I analyzed a crime that occurred after time, whom related damage, using both open data and extensive Internet or survey victim data.

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the primarily focusing on the Chiba Prefecture in 90 2,019, because I choose this year because this E the 2,019 has a so many typhoons occurred, and then also the

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The chiva prefecture is landfall in September and October.

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The first one is typhoon fasai, and the second one is a Taihu Haji base, and then the second one huggy base has a Called extensive power outage. In a Chiba prefecture.

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And this analysis, using the first, are using the open data for the analysis in a Chiva prefecture.

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I use open data for the by the Chiba Prefect Prefecture police officer.

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and then second one. A second data is a population data, and third, one is a power out is liquid.

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and the third one at the the A cram data, and the population data is open data by the auction. And then the third per outage record is, it! I get it from the my research corroborator.

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And this graph is presented. Here is represent the open data on crime in Chiba prefecture from 90 and 2,018, through the 2,019,

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and I put some The the timing of the 2 typhoon here.

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and then you can see the This is the whole street crimes, and then most of the street crime in Japan is constituted by the bicycle, sift the top of the top one in this graph.

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So I, a excluded by skill set.

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This is the other kind of sift grime on the the street, including inside a street crime.

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And but this is, you know, the this graph. They build limited insights. So I conducted a special analysis to matching these data because power out this data is a point data for the each individual utility polls

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and the cram data and the population data or procedure. the polygon data. So through the spatial joining, I like creating the 5,903 d. district! And I conducting the analysis by this? more than like like 6,000 cases as a

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the the data data set

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and to analyze the impact of the power outage. The data was divided into the area that experienced outage or the alias that didn't experienced

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a repeated major analyses. They build a significant decrease and the street crime in the heavy affected by the power art age.

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So I, conducting the using the large scale Internet subway the correct data from the 10,000 individual nationwide. Japan.

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Okay? And among the 10,000 respondents, 2,097 individuals reported, experienced some form of the national disaster

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among them.

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Okay, 150. A individual reported being victim of the crime after the disaster

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due to the small number of the cases. This This Analysis include all hazard, not only the typhoon affected.

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so the crimes they experienced belong to the category of desperate and opportunity. Instagram, the later one is a devastate

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the crime, and the year one is an opportunity, state crime.

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The respondents were asked where they reported the crime to the police. After recognized and victimization

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comparison with the reported lake during the known disaster period, they built a deporting late for the

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disparate crime was a proximity kind of half of the usual. The no disaster period deported late.

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So for conclusion and discussion and conclusion, the Sif program significantly decreased during the power outage for the typhoon.

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The majority of a safe crime in Japan involving the bicycle theft.

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The main reason for the bicycle sift is that we call is a trinity. it's kind of They took someone's bicycle for the really short distance trouble. But it's kind of for to walk.

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So during the power outage after the typhoon. The demand for the join or bicycle is kind of decreased, so it's lead to the decrease in the all over the occurrence of the sift crime.

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And, furthermore, it has been the observed, the deporting rate decreased after the disaster.

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and this can be attribute to attribute to the reasons, such as being busy with the disaster response. Or the because Their home is Lady Callous, so they cannot make sure. they something was stolen actually in their house or not.

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So these factories contribute to the hesitancy in reporting crimes. So this information is based on the resort of the interview we conduct in the Kumamoto earthquake affected area.

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So, indeed, conducting the comprehensive and systematic analysis would require the utilization of both offshore crime statistics, and provided by the police and victimization survey Ligard and crime incidents among the affected population

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by combinating These 2 sources of data, a more complete picture of the relationship between the disaster and crime can be obtained. So I should keep continue this kind of research

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in Japan. So thank you.

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You guys.

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there's mine. Okay.

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I'm just trying to turn off my timer before you guys stand. Let me know, like

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wild, crazy sounds.

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Ziqiang Han: Yeah, I I know, can you?

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Yep, yep.

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So let me.

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There we go, all right. So, Han, you are next.

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so you can take over controls whenever you are ready. All right, we can see your presentation. So that's good. So whenever you're ready, please introduce yourself and start.

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Ziqiang Han: Thank you. Also, alumni over the the center at the University of Delaware. I'm I'm working as a professor at the Center for risk governance and the emergency management

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Ziqiang Han: Central University. Right now, Senior University of China. Right now our campus is located in chin down the very Beautiful? And the coastal city. So if

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Ziqiang Han: about

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Ziqiang Han: in future, if if you are in so we we can collaborate on some research and welcome you in person. in, we have a separate waiting for fellowship programs.

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Ziqiang Han: And this is my email. And I think that the email is also on the website. Okay, so now I now go to the the study I want to share with the It's a non-compliance behavior to, you know, COVID-19 in China. And I did, and that, you know, uses that term cram because the money of it. It's it's a it's a it's a it's a

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Ziqiang Han: This is in the studies, this go back to the concept of term, you know the. That's a research area in terms of the

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Ziqiang Han: they just for me, it is some of mesa conceptualization. they're in disasters, especially the natural induced to. That starts, for example, that it's that some may. It cause epidemics

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Ziqiang Han: all most of that is as the victims the the not the rationals they will be, they would have become panic. They are in the

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Ziqiang Han: and into social behavior like a cram.

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Ziqiang Han: I'm increase.

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Ziqiang Han: But as a as a researcher. That's a researcher that shows that as a pro-social behavior, and like a voluntary and a donation because they are the the predominantly they that's the scenario. And the

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Ziqiang Han: they're always a like they paid. It's it's a, it's a it's a it's a it's a formal media and a researcher. And and and also the the public media kind. It kind of their conclusion from their reports and their their observations. And the researcher like us, go and go also get some more data.

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Ziqiang Han: And the recently are so I think with the right of cell phones, the social media. Well, everybody become a data source. So we can. may re

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Ziqiang Han: investigated this and the the the paper discussed about the the of these estimates.

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Ziqiang Han: he, he thinks we should really think of this the heivers like a panic or irrational and the social all our pro-social behavior. So we pick as a crime change in this. they're the covid at that case.

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Ziqiang Han: This also, Attracted as research as a formal especially from a criminology area in 2022 November, the National Academy of a Sense of the United States organized the one workshop, or discuss about the the crimes rates change it. They are in the COVID-19 and and

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Ziqiang Han: the data source because they're they're a man in the open data sauce. you know, the United States is several sauce potential sources they use the The national crime. Information is in the database, and the national crime of victim or survey conducted the Annually from the Department of Justice, and the also the I would be uniform crimes, cram database.

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Ziqiang Han: and also some of the researchers use the Cdc, so and another, the sauce is.

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Ziqiang Han: if they did, they did. They did the the city level. They you said the City police department that they have, like the Nypd and statistics. So we can see here the one Pd updated that they their crime, the primary information

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Ziqiang Han: daily. So almost every day.

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Ziqiang Han: Basically, the results show that this is the most of this is a crime crime rates, changes. Studies are coming from the the United States. And basically, they are the showing that that the increase of the

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Ziqiang Han: crime over a crime.

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Ziqiang Han: especially the the pro crime and the property cram both increased the

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Ziqiang Han: before. We compare that to that 19 to 10, to 20, and then 221

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Ziqiang Han: I think in detail. Some some of crime like from Cap, like a robbery, That decrease in 2,020

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Ziqiang Han: by the

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Ziqiang Han: because the most of the this is Scott. Is that coming from the Us. The United States. There we we know there's a Floyd protest occurred money in places. So there may be some other other influences, factors and

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Ziqiang Han: So there is a needed to. To most study.

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Ziqiang Han: I use the chat, the data from China. But there's there's no official data about the crime rates. So I cracked the data from a social media data for the local police, the who produce the department because almost all the local police department, every county level, every city. They have a social media. We board a contact.

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Ziqiang Han: Actually, they have social media. And I have also have a account. So they posted the post with the the information, On their social media? One example, Paul, is there, the the the safety alert.

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Ziqiang Han: the safety, for example, this one. She was a for example, this one she was a, this this, if they learned how you set up okay, in June, June 20, sixth, 1020,

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Ziqiang Han: That was a criminal. The the the name, the it's a it's a male 37. And he killed that he the wife, by using car, and they had the wife, was a female. 38, and that the this guy is under the custody right now.

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Ziqiang Han: So this is the kind of the the protein is safety alert, Most of most of the local place they post that it is

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Ziqiang Han: on their social media.

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Ziqiang Han: of course I wouldn't. I wouldn't have discussed with, because some of them, I, P. And I'm chase students as they work as the the in the police department to post it. This information I I they told me that actually they didn't. They don't have posted all the all the crime behaviors or crime activities. It's just the pick, this 1 one. They think that as a time educated the public all kind of learning public

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Ziqiang Han: So I correctly all this information from from the 20 and 9, 9, 2020, and the 2,001 from from from all the place departments on the social media. They are all about the 3 3 saw and the local police department accounts. So I collect all this information and these are pictures. And I try to transfer the the pictures into test data and

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Ziqiang Han: code data code data. This, all this information. Yeah.

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Ziqiang Han: After the the the from the first year, the 2,019 and the 2,020 there were 5 was on that case they left.

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Ziqiang Han: And the also I use the the city level data like the Gdp's Age group for the Internet access and the culture scores. And also the covid tastes. So we

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Ziqiang Han: included this

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Ziqiang Han: to for further analysis. So this is how how we constructed the database. I'll go quickly the basic results. This is the it's just a basically the results compared to them, The first 3 are 2020, 2029, and the 2,020. When I see there is a clearly that the increase of the

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Ziqiang Han: the

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Ziqiang Han: but when we go, did this a special distribution, the overall, the the the the more popular populace area and the more economic area, I should have a more cases. The the case is a collaborative correlated with the population density.

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Ziqiang Han: But if we go detail about to see the crime type the in the 20, yeah. 29, there's some more more crime cap. But in 2,020. Actually, there are less crime type. But there are the increase of a cyber crime and also some more.

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Ziqiang Han: This information. And for all the yeah, I I see. So overall the thank you, Michelle. The the results

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Ziqiang Han: show that the the separate crime, we increase the the the test and the.

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Ziqiang Han: and then the police use the force so also to but the place to use it. my name, Minor discipline. My search, for for example, educated, the the public other, the the the the the the most of with the validate as a regulations that will Covid is COVID-19 regulations.

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Ziqiang Han: And I think that that's all

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Ziqiang Han: that sent you.

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Thank you. Han, that was really, really interesting. Thank you so much.

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Okay, so where are we

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all right. It looks like our final session, for today is pre-recorded. So I am going to

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share my screen. and then

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let's see if we can get this up and rolling.

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So first of all, we would like to thank in the panel convener and all the panelists for all the hard work you put in organizing this session, and, of course, for accepting our working paper and presentation.

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The title of our contribution, as you can see, is illusions that control disaster, risk, reduction and counterterrorism, preparedness in a never-ending security crisis.

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The initial objective of this research paper was to reflect on a specific issue which is to understand how public authorities try to control what is progressively presented as a rise of uncertainty, and at the same time contributed further the framing of life as a never-ending security crisis.

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To do so. We analyze 2 case studies in Chile and France. The first one is the case of an emergency and disaster management device implemented in Chile after the 2,010 male earthquake and tsunami.

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the community emergency response team cert program. The third program was created by the Los Angeles, C. Defi department in 86, based on Japanese and Mexican experiences.

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It was then made an American national instrument in 93 by the Federal Emergency Management Agency. The program was then imported by the Chilean National Emergency Bureau.

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the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the California Office of Emergency Services to Chile from 2,011 to 2,012 after the boundary disaster in 2010

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this program was conceived in order to prepare citizens to help themselves, as well as to aid first responders by training the population in 4 steps.

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The first one was, prepare expectations in terms of emergency services. The second one is to communicate, that is the individual's responsibility, to reduce risk and to prepare the third one

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to train on the essential skills of first aid and decision making. and finally, the fourth one to train to organise response teams which will act as an extension of the emergency services. To this end the Chilean search

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training currently provides a guide for instructors and student Manual, a Powerpoint presentation and a list of learning videos on simulation exercises.

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The second case study concerns prevention and preparedness in the face of the terrorist threat in France. Here I am looking at a number of instruments for peppering for threads.

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The first one called. is the main instrument for papering a get threat of terrorism. After the 1,995 terrorist attacks in Paris.

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issued by the Prime Minister's office and its general secretire for defense and national security. This instrument focuses on training and awareness raising panels for the general public

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within vigipulat. I'm going to focus on the online training Fairfax, or some facing up together. I would also like to suggest another instrument. Another training device

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which was created this time by the Ministry of Interior and the Interministerial Committee for the Prevention of Crime and Radicalization.

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This objective of this instrument training device is to anticipate and prevent radicalization and so terrorism by focusing more on a target audience, civil servants and local authority staff.

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The aim is to align 2 types of apparatus, 2 types of preparedness which implies 2 type of public participation in security and defense policy.

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So the research question that guide that work is defined as illustrated by disaster-risk reduction programs in chile and counter-terrorism training in France.

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until what extend is the illusion of control over the effect of a state of a permanent secretary to crisis based on population, targeting and capacity transfer practicing as well as cyclical conception of time. In order to answer to this question or many hypotheses, is that in both inually and in France, control over emergency situations, is the reality of an evolution

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closely linked to the pre-programmed projections of these situations. which are developed, created, elaborated by security professionals on the basis of 3 main elements.

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population targeting capacity transfer and a cyclical conception of time. So first, we want to look at the framing operation towards population.

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How are we trying to turn civilian population into Brazilian population? And what is the meaning of this term as illustrating my assert program in chile and counter-terrorism devices. In France

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the first elements refers to population targeting, practicing. which entails targeting and categorizing specific social groups as vulnerable population likely to become resilient.

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Population. Targeting techniques are based on to specific practicing. That country moved to the illusion of control and certainty by the Chilean and French target of population.

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The first one refers to the transformation of vulnerable population and unprepared population into autonomous, prepared, and resilient citizens.

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Resilience is in Chile and France a way to enroll population in security and defense policies and instruments. The second one

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refers to the normalization of pause. The discourse and the framing of security crisis. Crisis is here understood, not only as a patent.

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but also as a new type of governance.

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So the second element refers to preparing for uncertainty. which relies on 2 specific practices, capacity, transfer practices and responsibilities of the citizens practices.

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So how is that capacity, transfer and responsibilities? Practices are supposed to prepare us for uncertainty. Reshma civilizations, refers first of all to

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how to adopt a permanent state of alert and vigilance through preparedness and capacity to transfer trainings. as we can see in Chile and in France.

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convinced by the benefits of transferring capacities to populations to lucky populations. The promoters of these instruments of these training programs believe

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in their effectiveness, in governing uncertainty, in governing future uncertainties. And this lies on 2 cognitive mechanisms. The first one refers to the actors attitude and institutional membership.

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and the second one to the forms or modalities of belief in the feasibility of the action.

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The third element that we want to address is how preparedness, training are based on the cyclic consumption of time in the practice. This requires from a secretive professional to imagine the possible future, and at the same time projecting an anticipated path into the future.

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Ziqiang Han: The third element we want to reflect on is the employment by injectors of the cyclical conception of time more precisely what interest us is, how targeting and preparing these practices, I, driven by cyclical conception of time.

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Thus the emergence of a never-ending crisis is employed by the actors as a kind of axiom which make it possible for them to think about preparedness and resilience.

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In practice. The use of this cyclical conception of time creates and projects what Olivia has an Alzheimer'

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called structured emergency situation. You know the words imagine crisis employment in training devices are not real crisis, but tools which are quite useful to Google.

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Targeting population. in fact, does exercise and scenarios do not reflect the crisis experience on this basis.

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A crucial idea emerge, namely, that thinking and developing knowledge about the future is a battlefield driving by consensus.

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conflict and controversy between security professionals, actors. 3 key points can be highlighted in our conclusion. The first one is that controlling risk means targeting vulnerable populations

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to be protected. The second one is that protecting these vulnerable populations entails. preparing them and giving them through

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training courses, a sense of responsibility. And the third one is that preparing this population involves or entails the use of a cyclical conception of time

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and pre programmed or organized futures which are embedded in conflict characterizing specific security fields either in Chile or in France.

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Yay, that was awesome.

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all right. So

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if you have any questions about the last presentation, remember, you can use your Isa app to direct questions to presenters. So what I am going to do now is I'm going to stop sharing.

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and I'm gonna open up the floor for you guys to ask questions of each other to give feedback. However, you would like to do it. Anna has a question. Why don't you come up here? Since you're on just

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a happy little moderator. So why don't you take this pole position? And I'll just move out of the way. Okay, I have a question to the Roger.

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Hello, Roger. Okay, okay.

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okay, I have a question. because are you talking about the fishing and drugs smuggling? And I think the relationship between the the fishing and drugs. Modeling is due to kind of long term, unsustainable fishing practices. So actually, what is the factor, or what kind of

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effect. The disaster is conducted by those kind of relationships.

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the fishing and and the drug smuggling.

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Roger Ramos: Sorry. I think my connection is worsened, and I lost the the last part of your question. If you, if you could please, repeat it, or if you prefer, you can write it down, so I can answer it. Okay, can I? I? I can.

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Right on the chat. Okay, okay, okay.

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But I,

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okay. actually, this keyboard doesn't work. And I couldn't type anything. So.

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okay, I try to. By the by, my, by, my voice. So what is the effect of the disaster for this kind of relationship between the fishing and the drug smuggling.

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Could you hear it?

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Okay. But this check didn't work for the here. So

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oh, yeah, yeah, it

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I. Okay.

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And now it didn't work.

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Oh, thank you, Jennifer. Thank you. Jennifer.

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Yes.

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Roger Ramos: that's my question.

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Roger Ramos: Hello.

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yes.

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Roger Ramos: Okay. What is it? The relationship in the disaster between the fishing and the drug smoking. That was question. Right? Yes, yes, yes. Okay. Thank you. Sorry again.

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Roger Ramos: well, basically And from

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Roger Ramos: historical perspective, I think. the main relationship between a disaster process and drugs. Modeling is the is the loss of the the sea as a as a as a territory for fishermen. So they they in in with the presence of trafficking

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Roger Ramos: fishermen, feel they are losing a a part of the

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Roger Ramos: the

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Roger Ramos: that usually they they possess. They I I don't know how to to, to to explain it. But this is is basically that it's it's a loss of of of territory, which mean, at the same time a loss of identity, because they have to abandon their their tradition, the lifestyle and and do something they

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Roger Ramos: I don't want to do. But they are forced to do.

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Okay? So so I, okay,

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Roger Ramos: I don't know if

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Roger Ramos: you hear me. There.

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Yeah, yeah. Yeah. okay. So

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Roger Ramos: one day.

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And

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Roger Ramos: in in this case, when an when an earthquake happens, in some way, the capabilities or of the the community are are not the same. They've fishermen feels they have lost. since they've lost the connection with the sea. A lot of their old capabilities to face disasters have been lost as well.

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Okay.

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Roger Ramos: So that's why they mentioned often testimonies, the criminal activities as part of their vulnerabilities in front of disasters.

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Okay.

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okay, thank you.

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Roger Ramos: Thank you.

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Yeah. Okay.

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He here.

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we pay up there because somebody has a question from you.

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Okay.

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any other questions.

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This is still the

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oh.

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the

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or maybe this one.

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How about this one?

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Yeah.

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okay.

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Any other questions for each other or from the audience?

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Ziqiang Han: I know it's crazy hours. Everybody is on a completely different time zone. So I think everybody is just kinda

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: I have to wait till 1 30 in the morning for my next presentation.

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It's it's just rough. When we did this in Brazil instead of Brazil. That was me. I was moderating sessions, and I was lying down. Well, the preside, turn off my camera and just lie down next to my computer. Well, listen. Thank you, everybody. It has been really amazing. And Han oh, my God, big hug so nice to see you.

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thank you, everybody. Remember if if questions come up once your brain's clear and you've had some sleep and the coffee hits. Please reach out to the individual presenters. I want to thank everybody. This was a great session.

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Jenniffer Santos-HernÃ¡ndez: and I hope to see all of you face to face at some point in the future. Jennifer Roger, thank you so very much. Have a great day night.

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whatever is happening where you are by everybody.

